Pole Position Prediction- A tidymodels Example

Hello readers, today’s blog I will be looking at predicting the formula 1 grid using the Tidymodels collection of R packages. The idea is to use data from the practice sessions on a Friday, to give an idea of what the grid is expected to be for the race on Sunday before qualifying on Saturday. […]

Twenty20 Win Probability Added

Hello readers, welcome to today’s blog. I am going to implement a win probability added model for twenty 20 cricket. Now this is nothing new a quick google and there are many sources for it. Cricviz is possibly the most famous version which you may have seen on the app. The idea is the model […]

The Most Unpredictable League?

Hello, I watch a lot of football in the championship and often the commentators on sky sports will say “this is the most unpredictable league in the world”. The thought occurred to me that this is actually quite easy to test. All you need is a model which predicts a range of league. The model […]

Cricket Moneyball?

Moneyball. That horrific word coined by the book written by Michael Lewis and later hammered further into the public consciousness with the film starring Brad Pitt. Now anything in sport using stats is termed Moneyball when the truth couldn’t be further from that. In this blog I am going to look at some concepts of […]

F1 Drivers Rated

Hello, welcome to today’s blog and in it I’m going to be developing methods to evaluate F1 drivers. Currently there is no real way to tell if an F1 driver is any good. It seems sort of arbitrary how a racing driver is decided if they are good or not. Being a data fan I […]

Predicting Qualifying — 2

In the last blog I outlined creating a model which predicts the fastest time for each driver in F1 qualifying. theparttimeanalyst.com/2019/07/10/predicting-f1-qualifying/ Today I am going to be dissecting the model to understands its strengths and weaknesses and to look if their is any bias within the model. First lets look at the importance matrix The […]

1st Ashes Test — My Team

Hello welcome to today’s blog looking at something a bit different. The first ashes test starts on 1st August and England will imminently name their squad. In this piece I look at what the team for the first game might look like. First things first this is the team that played the last test match […]

Predicting F1 Qualifying

Hello, welcome to this blog a few days ago I tweeted the below graph in a tweet It was the output from the model I have created which predicts the qualifying time for each driver. I will get into the review of the outputs of the model in the next blog but today im going […]